Ludogorets Razgrad vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — two goals down, and the old certainties gone
Preview · UEFA Conference League · Second qualifying round, second leg · 30 July 2026
Ludogorets go into the return at the Huvepharma Arena trailing 2-0, which is a sentence that would have been almost unthinkable in Razgrad a couple of years ago. They need to win by two to force extra time and by three to advance, against a Hapoel Tel Aviv side playing in Europe for the first time since 2014-15 and doing so with the fearlessness of a club that was in Israel’s second tier as recently as 2025. The first leg was not a smash-and-grab either — Hapoel scored near the end of each half, through Omri Altman and centre-back Chico, and thoroughly deserved the cushion they are now defending.
The matchup
That first leg was a “home” match in name only. UEFA’s restrictions mean Israeli clubs cannot host European fixtures in Israel, so Hapoel staged the tie at the DVTK Stadion in Miskolc, in the Diósgyőr district of the Hungarian city — a neutral ground several thousand kilometres from Bloomfield, with a modest crowd and none of the usual noise. Hapoel handled that oddity better than Ludogorets handled the occasion. The Bulgarians conceded at the two worst possible moments, just before the interval and late in the second half, and never found the rhythm that has made them such reliable operators in July qualifiers over the past decade. Now the roles reverse entirely: Ludogorets get a proper home crowd, a familiar surface and ninety minutes in which passivity is not an option.
Form & context
The wider story here is Ludogorets’ altered status. Their extraordinary run of Bulgarian league titles — fourteen in a row — ended last season, with Levski Sofia taking the championship and Ludogorets finishing third. They entered this competition via a domestic play-off, beating Lokomotiv Plovdiv on penalties after a goalless draw, and have started the new campaign steadily enough, with back-to-back wins over Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse and clean sheets in both. Bernard Tekpetey has been involved in the goals. Hapoel, meanwhile, arrive on a genuine high: promoted back to the top flight and then fourth in the 2025-26 Ligat ha’Al, their best finish since 2013-14, with Altman and Emmanuel Boateng giving them real threat in transition. Neither side reported significant fresh injury problems ahead of the first leg, and no red cards were shown.
The deciding factor
Ludogorets’ first twenty-five minutes. A two-goal deficit at home is recoverable, but only if the early goal arrives and the crowd is given something to hold onto — and Ludogorets have historically been at their most dangerous in exactly those conditions. Hapoel’s counter to that is patience: they defended their box well in Hungary and have the pace to punish a Bulgarian side committing bodies forward.
The call
A lean towards Hapoel Tel Aviv advancing, at LOW confidence. This is a read rather than a conviction — Ludogorets at home in a European qualifier remain a formidable proposition and two goals is not an unbridgeable gap. But the Bulgarians are a club in transition, no longer domestic champions and no longer automatic in these ties, while Hapoel look like a side genuinely enjoying themselves. Extra time would surprise nobody.